How Bad Will the Election be for Republicans?

Columnists and commentators are finally coming around to the notion that the Republicans will not do well in November’s election. The platitude that the winning party always loses in the midterms is finally being questioned.

It seems to me that the likelihood is that the Republicans will lose heavily in November because of the positions they have taken and particularly because so many of them go on supporting Donald Trump—a majority of GOP members of Congress went along with Trump’s illegal attempt to overturn the results of the 2020 election. And yet close to half of Americans think Trump should face criminal charges for his role in the deadly insurrection. And Republicans are divided. Republicans who support former President Trump more than they support the GOP climbed to 41 percent in August, up 7 points from May when 34 percent said they supported Trump more than the party, according to NBC.

Trump remains head of the party. As a result, the party owns his sins. And there are lots of them: encouraging Russian interference in our elections, threatening Ukraine to dig up dirt on his political opponents, cozying up to Kim Jung Un and other foreign dictators, abandoning our closest allies, defunding the Post Office, proposing $30 billion in cuts to Social Security, caging migrant children at the border, attacking freedom of the press, building a racist border wall, inciting the January 6th Capitol insurrection, threatening state officials to rig the 2020 election, imposing a transgender military ban, and denying the severity of COVID-19, to name only a few. According to the Washington Post, Trump publicly told 30,573 lies while in office, an average of 21 a day. He was, as many experts have stated, the worst president ever.

As a result, I expect that the November election will show an historical defeat for the Republicans. I’m inclined to agree with those who question whether the party will survive.

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